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1 COMPUTER CHIPS ARE STILL 'MADE IN USA' (AXIOS.COM) \r
2\r
3 Thursday September 06, 2018 @11:30PM (msmash)\r
4 from the how-about-that dept.\r
5\r
6 o News link: https://news.slashdot.org/story/18/09/06/1558206/computer-chips-are-still-made-in-usa\r
7 o Source link: https://www.axios.com/computer-chips-manufacturing-america--10dcfe13-64f3-4ea9-ad4a-cb189a00429a.html\r
8\r
9\r
10 For all the wishful thinking about manufacturing more laptops\r
11 and iPhones in the U.S., there is one sector of tech\r
12 manufacturing where America remains a leader: computer chips.\r
13 From a report: Some $44 billion worth of semiconductors are\r
14 exported from the U.S. each year, making them America's fourth\r
15 leading manufacturing export after cars, airplanes and refined\r
16 oil. There are roughly 80 wafer fabrication plants (aka fabs)\r
17 in the U.S., spread across 19 states. [...] An even greater\r
18 share of the world's computer chips are designed domestically\r
19 and made overseas by companies including Qualcomm, Apple,\r
20 Broadcom and Nvidia. A bunch of the high-tech gear needed to\r
21 produce chips is also designed and/or made in the U.S.\r
22\r
23\r
24 ** \r
25\r
26 ** Re: (Score:2)\r
27 (by bobbied ( 2522392 ))\r
28\r
29 \r
30 Why?\r
31 Politics of course..\r
32\r
33 ** Re: (Score:2)\r
34 (by Alwin Barni ( 5107629 ))\r
35\r
36 \r
37 > Why?\r
38 > Politics of course..\r
39 Could you please expand?\r
40\r
41 ** Re:Why is it "wishful thinking"? (Score:5, Funny)\r
42 (by fahrbot-bot ( 874524 ))\r
43\r
44 \r
45 >> Why?\r
46 >> Politics of course..\r
47 > Could you please expand?\r
48 P o l i t i c s o f c o u r s e.\r
49\r
50 ** Re: (Score:2, Funny)\r
51 (by Anonymous Coward)\r
52\r
53 \r
54 >>> Why?\r
55 >>> Politics of course..\r
56 >> Could you please expand?\r
57 > \r
58 > P o l i t i c s o f c o u r s e.\r
59 > \r
60 I'm not sure if I should laugh, or hunt you down and\r
61 smack you upside your head with a 2x4.\r
62\r
63 ** Re: (Score:3)\r
64 (by Highdude702 ( 4456913 ))\r
65\r
66 \r
67 I mean, I thought it was hilarious, and it wasn't\r
68 the name calling garbage you see here too often.\r
69\r
70\r
71\r
72 ** Re: (Score:2)\r
73 (by Alwin Barni ( 5107629 ))\r
74\r
75 \r
76 :-)\r
77 However:\r
78 expand ikspand/\r
79 verb\r
80 verb: expand; 3rd person present: expands; past\r
81 tense: expanded; past participle: expanded; gerund\r
82 or present participle: expanding\r
83 * become or make larger or more extensive\r
84 * give a fuller version or account of.\r
85\r
86 ** Re: (Score:2)\r
87 (by fahrbot-bot ( 874524 ))\r
88\r
89 \r
90 > :-)\r
91 > However: expand - verb ...\r
92 > (1) become or make larger or more extensive\r
93 > (2) give a fuller version or account of.\r
94 Yup, I know; I was married to an English teacher\r
95 for 20 years, but using the first definition was\r
96 funnier. :-)\r
97 [1]Remember Sue... [tumblr.com]\r
98 \r
99 \r
100 \r
101 \r
102 [1] http://remembersue.tumblr.com/\r
103\r
104\r
105\r
106\r
107\r
108\r
109 ** Re: Why is it "wishful thinking"? (Score:1)\r
110 (by Anonymous Coward)\r
111\r
112 \r
113 The only reason is automation. Jobs were never going to come\r
114 back from chip manufacturing.\r
115 They have a factory crew for setting up the parts and feeding\r
116 the machines. Pretty cheap, doesn't actually make much money\r
117 for anyone but the corporation running it. It's all\r
118 "unskilled" and low pay...setting up all those machines,\r
119 getting material dimensions in spec and running the machine\r
120 is just considered general labor.\r
121\r
122\r
123 ** Re: (Score:3)\r
124 (by YuppieScum ( 1096 ))\r
125\r
126 \r
127 > If the US leads in chip manufacture, why can't it be\r
128 > competitive in putting the pieces together?\r
129 Because most of the CPU silicon used in the commonest devices\r
130 - phones and laptops - is fabbed in Asia.\r
131 \r
132 Because most of the parts - like screens, RAM and flash\r
133 storage - are also made in Asia, so it's cheaper to bolt it\r
134 all together in a location closest to the source of the most\r
135 parts.\r
136 \r
137 Because final assembly of something like an iPhone is a\r
138 manual process that requires the dexterity of nimble fingers.\r
139 It's not quite the same as bolting doors onto a Chevvy.\r
140\r
141\r
142 ** Re: (Score:2)\r
143 (by GameboyRMH ( 1153867 ))\r
144\r
145 \r
146 Because it hardly has any of the pieces right now - it would\r
147 be a massive effort to put all the supply chains in place for\r
148 the various electronics components needed for a whole\r
149 computer when the US currently makes little more than chips.\r
150 Currently those supply chains are in Asia (which also has the\r
151 advantages of cheap labor and lax environmental laws). I'd\r
152 compare it to going from just making engine blocks to making\r
153 a whole car, but that underplays the difficulty too much.\r
154\r
155\r
156 ** Re: (Score:2)\r
157 (by AHuxley ( 892839 ))\r
158\r
159 \r
160 Re "why can't it be competitive in putting the pieces\r
161 together?"\r
162 Think back to the 1970 and 1980's when the CPU thing needed\r
163 new production lines and was no longer low yield skilled lab\r
164 work.\r
165 Non first world nations part pay their workers in food,\r
166 dormitories. Their introduction to work is free as its part\r
167 of the nations free "education".\r
168 Tax reductions and industrial export support then further\r
169 supports the electronics brand in the poor nation.\r
170 No unions. Lots of pollution.\r
171 \r
172 The big brands moved to ver\r
173\r
174\r
175 ** But for how long? (Score:2)\r
176 (by DMJC ( 682799 ))\r
177\r
178 \r
179 Sure they still do, but China is beginning to manufacture X86\r
180 CPUs directly. It's only a matter of time until they catch up\r
181 and crush Intel and AMD through undercutting, and throwing money\r
182 at the problem. [1]https://www.tomshardware.com/n...\r
183 [tomshardware.com]\r
184 \r
185 \r
186 \r
187 \r
188 [1]\r
189 https://www.tomshardware.com/news/china-zen-x86-processor-dryhan-\r
190 a,37417.html\r
191\r
192 ** Re: (Score:2)\r
193 (by Dallas May ( 4891515 ))\r
194\r
195 \r
196 In the long run, yes. Probably not really soon. There are\r
197 plenty of significant advances happening that space right\r
198 now. They might market to the far low end PCs, but they\r
199 aren't the market AMD and Intel really want anyway.\r
200\r
201\r
202 ** Re: (Score:2)\r
203 (by jon3k ( 691256 ))\r
204\r
205 \r
206 By then (10-20 years, if they're lucky) the desktop will be\r
207 commoditized and mobile (ie laptops) mostly replaced with\r
208 ARM. All the growth is in the server market and China is a\r
209 long, long way from producing an X86 CPU that can compete\r
210 with Intel Xeons. Who knows what the landscape will look like\r
211 by then.\r
212\r
213 ** Re: But for how long? (Score:2)\r
214 (by adolf ( 21054 ))\r
215\r
216 \r
217 This will also be the year of Linux on the desktop!\r
218\r
219 ** Re: (Score:2)\r
220 (by tsa ( 15680 ))\r
221\r
222 \r
223 Yeah, paradise is near!\r
224\r
225 ** Re: (Score:2)\r
226 (by adolf ( 21054 ))\r
227\r
228 \r
229 We're on the home stretch, boys!\r
230\r
231\r
232\r
233\r
234\r
235 ** Re: (Score:2)\r
236 (by AHuxley ( 892839 ))\r
237\r
238 \r
239 As long as the NRO needs hand crafted space CPU products.\r
240\r
241\r
242 ** Re: (Score:2)\r
243 (by CaffeinatedBacon ( 5363221 ))\r
244\r
245 \r
246 But who will people trust to make their CPU's. Intel with\r
247 their "management engine" and AMD etc all with the same is\r
248 already freaking enough people out.\r
249 Who is going to want a Chinese CPU with who knows what\r
250 running on it that you will never be able to see, has access\r
251 to everything, and can do anything it wants to "your\r
252 computer" and "your data".\r
253 Most countries would probably just ban them like they are\r
254 [1]doing for 5G telecom equipment already. [nytimes.com]\r
255 \r
256 \r
257 \r
258 \r
259 [1]\r
260 https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/23/technology/huawei-banned-a-\r
261 ustralia-5g.html\r
262\r
263\r
264 ** Yeah, but . . . (Score:5, Interesting)\r
265 (by dtmos ( 447842 ) *)\r
266\r
267 \r
268 . . . computer chips with state-of-the-art lithography soon all\r
269 will be manufactured overseas. Specifically, they will be made\r
270 by exactly two companies, [1]Samsung [samsungfoundry.com] and\r
271 [2]TSMC [tsmc.com], with GlobalFoundries' recent announcement\r
272 that it is [3]stopping development of its 7nm process\r
273 [anandtech.com]. GF operated the old IBM facility in Fishkill,\r
274 NY, and AFAIK was the last company offering state-of-the-art\r
275 foundry services with a fab in the US.\r
276 Intel is still in business, of course, and even has a [4]foundry\r
277 business [intel.com], but it cannot seem to successfully operate\r
278 it -- substantially all of its wafer starts are chips of its own\r
279 design. With the capital cost of each new-generation fab\r
280 reaching $20 billion, it's only a matter of time until Intel --\r
281 which has only its internal product base of chip designs to fill\r
282 its fabs, while Samsung and TSMC make chips for the entire\r
283 industry -- can no longer afford the move to the next\r
284 generation.\r
285 If the rest of the semiconductor industry (or the US DoD) wants\r
286 high-performance computer chips, there's now nowhere to go\r
287 except Samsung and TSMC. It will be interesting to see what\r
288 politicians do when they realize that the best digital chips can\r
289 no longer be manufactured in the US. The choice seems to be\r
290 either (1) have our economy -- everything from cell phones to\r
291 missiles -- dependent on chips manufactured overseas, or (2)\r
292 subsidize Intel's foundry business and the semiconductor\r
293 equipment manufacturers to the tune of tens of $billions, just\r
294 to keep a US source of high-performance semiconductors.\r
295 \r
296 \r
297 \r
298 \r
299 [1] https://www.samsungfoundry.com/foundry/homepage.do\r
300 [2] http://www.tsmc.com/english/default.htm\r
301 [3]\r
302 https://www.anandtech.com/show/13277/globalfoundries-stops-all-7-\r
303 nm-development\r
304 [4] https://www.intel.com/content/www/us/en/foundry/overview.html\r
305\r
306 ** \r
307\r
308 ** Re: (Score:3)\r
309 (by Dallas May ( 4891515 ))\r
310\r
311 \r
312 The same reason they haven't produced a car yet. They\r
313 could, but they don't want to. They have good deals with\r
314 their current suppliers, so why make that investment?\r
315\r
316 ** The normal Transition of economies (Score:2)\r
317 (by aberglas ( 991072 ))\r
318\r
319 \r
320 1. Primary production\r
321 2. Manufacturing\r
322 3. Services\r
323 Services will keep things going fine. Lawyers, tax\r
324 accountants, retail and beauty consultants. That is\r
325 where the growth will come from.\r
326\r
327\r
328\r
329\r
330 ** \r
331\r
332 ** Re: (Score:2)\r
333 (by nateman1352 ( 971364 ))\r
334\r
335 \r
336 TI doesn't have state-of-the-art lithography for digital.\r
337 They gave up on the Moore's Law race 10 years ago after\r
338 they reached 45nm. TI realized during the development of\r
339 WinRT that building CPUs requires very expensive fabs and\r
340 if you are not an x86 supplier then your only option is to\r
341 make ARM chips, which is a race to the bottom with very\r
342 thin margins. TI realized they can make more money\r
343 building mixed signal designs on older process.\r
344\r
345\r
346\r
347 ** Re:Yeah, but . . . (Score:4, Insightful)\r
348 (by Graymalkin ( 13732 ) *)\r
349\r
350 \r
351 State of the art lithography is not a synonym for\r
352 high-performance computer chips. In fact for a lot of uses,\r
353 DoD included, state of the art lithography is nowhere in the\r
354 requirements. Hardened chips on robust/insulated substrates\r
355 is more important in many uses than smaller die traces.\r
356\r
357\r
358 ** Re: (Score:2)\r
359 (by KalvinB ( 205500 ))\r
360\r
361 \r
362 They'll be subsidized under issues of national security if\r
363 they're really needed by the government. The government\r
364 generally doesn't run bleeding edge technology so the chips\r
365 that can be produced in the US will be plenty sufficient for\r
366 government needs. If the government ever needs a $20 billion\r
367 plant, they'll cut a check under the national defense budget.\r
368 We've been comfortable with foreign made chips for decades in\r
369 the consumer market. Unless there is a severe national\r
370 security issue that won't change.\r
371\r
372\r
373 ** Re: (Score:2)\r
374 (by nateman1352 ( 971364 ))\r
375\r
376 \r
377 Intel has the same fundamental problem with foundry that AMD\r
378 had 10 years ago. Every 3rd party company does not trust\r
379 Intel to prioritize their products over Intel's own products.\r
380 Intel will always build their own products on the latest\r
381 process node first. If you fab with Intel then your wafers\r
382 will always get 2nd priority over Intel's own wafers. The\r
383 only way that is not the case is if you are such a huge\r
384 customer that your contract requires Intel to construct an\r
385 entire new factory just for you. Then you h\r
386\r
387\r
388 ** Poor writing in TFA (Score:5, Informative)\r
389 (by whoever57 ( 658626 ))\r
390\r
391 \r
392 "An even greater share of the world's computer chips are\r
393 designed domestically and made overseas by companies including\r
394 Qualcomm, Apple, Broadcom and Nvidia."\r
395 This reads as though Qualcomm, Apple, Broadcom and Nvidia are\r
396 making chips. What would be clear and accurate is:\r
397 "An even greater share of the world's computer chips are\r
398 designed domestically by companies including Qualcomm, Apple,\r
399 Broadcom and Nvidia and made overseas."\r
400\r
401 ** Still somewhat misleading... (Score:4, Informative)\r
402 (by YuppieScum ( 1096 ))\r
403\r
404 \r
405 Don't forget, a hefty chunk of Qualcomm's - and pretty much\r
406 all of Apple's - designs are not original, but instead are\r
407 based on IP from ARM, a British company (although recently\r
408 bought out by SoftBank).\r
409 \r
410 In fact, Broadcom and Nvidia are also licencees of ARM IP as\r
411 well, but less of their overall product range derives from\r
412 it.\r
413\r
414\r
415 ** Are you sure? (Score:3, Interesting)\r
416 (by Gabest ( 852807 ))\r
417\r
418 \r
419 TSMC and Samsung are the leaders in chip making. And second\r
420 class Intel and AMD both have shady Middle-East ties from Israel\r
421 and Dubai.\r
422\r
423 ** 13% market share is not good (Score:4, Interesting)\r
424 (by Goldsmith ( 561202 ))\r
425\r
426 \r
427 This is a crazy article. At the end, it meekly points out that\r
428 the US has a 13% market share in chip production. Given that the\r
429 US started this industry, leads in design in this space, leads\r
430 in capital available for high tech industry, and that the US\r
431 accounts for 15% to 18% of global GDP, a 13% market share in\r
432 chip production is very poor performance. This is below what you\r
433 might expect for a simple commodity that depends only on\r
434 domestic market size and way below what you'd expect for this\r
435 industry.\r
436\r
437\r